With five weeks to the elections - voter turnout is the data that may decide

Five weeks before the elections, a Kan News poll reveals significant gaps in expected voter turnout between the opposition and coalition camps. The opposition is expected to achieve 72% turnout compared to 67% in the coalition, but the coalition is beginning to close the gap. An unusual figure is the low expected turnout in the ultra-Orthodox sector, standing at only 67%, alongside a dramatic drop in expected turnout in the Arab society to just 50%.

Five weeks before the elections in Israel, a Kan News poll indicates that expected voter turnout in the various camps may decide the election results. According to the data, the opposition is expected to achieve 72% turnout, compared to only 67% in the coalition. The opposition without the Arab society is expected to reach even 80% turnout. However, the coalition is beginning to close the gap: at the start of the election campaign, the differences were larger in favor of the opposition. Kan News pollster Dudi Hasid identified an upward trend in expected voter turnout for the coalition in the past week. A particularly unusual figure is the expected turnout in the ultra-Orthodox sector, standing at only 67% - lower than the general average of 69%. Almost never does the ultra-Orthodox turnout fall below the general average. The central question is whether this low rate will be balanced by low rates also in the Arab sector. According to the data, only fifty percent of respondents in Arab society plan to go to the polls, a decline from over 53% in the last elections. The article notes that it has often been claimed that Likud is working to reduce the motivation of Arab voters.