Trump's dilemma - ahead of another strike on Iran

Three weeks before the US midterm elections, President Trump is weighing whether to order another strike on Iran. On one hand, the temptation of a military and political achievement; on the other, fear of economic, political, and strategic costs. Meanwhile, Iran is rebuilding missile and drone capabilities, and renewed activity at a nuclear site raises concern. The article reviews four possible scenarios.

Three weeks before the US midterm elections, President Donald Trump faces a security and political dilemma: whether to order another strike on Iran, or to wait. On one hand, a targeted strike could yield a public relations achievement and increase pressure on Tehran. On the other hand, there is concern over rising fuel prices ($4.37 per gallon), political damage to Republican candidates, and broader military escalation. The Pentagon is preparing for the possibility of renewed strikes, but Trump has denied any intention to strike before the elections. Meanwhile, Iran is rebuilding missile and drone capabilities, and renewed activity at the Min-Zada'i site indicates an attempt to restore damaged nuclear infrastructure. The article presents four possible scenarios for the future.