Houthi gains, Bahraini defiance, and Iran's internal fractures

A senior Bahraini official rejects dialogue with Iran as the Houthis capture a strategic port, revealing Gulf fault lines.

Houthi gains, Bahraini defiance, and Iran's internal fractures — Over the weekend, the Houthis captured the strategic port city of Mokha and Perim Island, gaining de facto control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.[^1] The advance, which came as Saudi Arabia announced that drones launched from Iraq struck several points along its east-west oil pipeline yesterday, underscores the fragility of Red Sea security.[^2] The Saudi pipeline, which can carry up to 7 million barrels per day and bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, was already under pressure from Brent crude prices above $100 per barrel.[^2] A senior Bahraini official told Kan News that it is impossible to sit with the Iranians after the recent attacks.[^3] "How can we sit with them after all the attacks they have carried out against us in recent months?" the official asked.[^3] This hawkish stance contrasts with reports that some Gulf states are willing to compromise with Tehran, despite statements about restoring the status quo.[^3] Meanwhile, an extremist faction within the Iranian leadership attacked three ships in the Strait of Hormuz in early July without the approval of President Pezeshkian and the commander of the Revolutionary Guards.[^4] The regime formulated an official version blaming the US, but few are convinced by it.[^4] The attack on three commercial ships was carried out on the initiative of individuals acting on their own, according to reports.[^4] Will the Houthi territorial gains push Saudi Arabia toward a more confrontational stance, or will the kingdom seek to accommodate the new reality on the ground? Eisenkot's lone dissent and the shifting Israeli political ground — Gadi Eisenkot was the only member of the security cabinet who begged to postpone the return to fighting during the discussions on the first hostage deal, according to Kan News. [^1] While Chief of Staff Halevi, Gallant, and Netanyahu all called for a return to fighting, Eisenkot proposed accepting Hamas's offer for seven elderly men and three bodies at zero cost. [^1] The revelation, published hours ago, sharpens the contrast between the security cabinet's wartime unanimity and the lone dissenter who now leads in the polls.

Houthi gains, Bahraini defiance, and Iran's internal fractures