The excuses of the pollsters who will fail on election day

Gabi Weimann argues that some pollsters in Israel will be found to be false prophets on election day, due to contradictory forecasts, a history of failures, and excuses like 'they lied to us', 'last-minute changes of opinion', and 'the undecided misled us'. Weimann accuses the pollsters of conflicts of interest, lack of reporting on methodology, and media prominence at the expense of accuracy.

Gabi Weimann, a political communication researcher at Reichman University, argues that some pollsters in Israel will be found to be false prophets on election day. He points to contradictions in forecasts, a history of failures, and recurring excuses such as 'they lied to us', 'last-minute changes of opinion', and 'the undecided misled us'. Weimann accuses the pollsters of conflicts of interest because they serve as polling consultants for parties while appearing as 'objective' in the media, lack of reporting on methodology, and dizzying media prominence. He states that polls are a legitimate scientific tool for testing public opinion in the present, but future predictions are problematic.

The excuses of the pollsters who will fail on election day