Iran's strategic patience in negotiation with Trump pays off after US midterm election - analysis

Analysis argues Iran's strategic patience paid off after the US midterm election, as Democrats will pressure Trump on Iran policy. The regime avoided long-term nuclear concessions despite economic hardship. Israel must prepare for divergence with the US and be ready to act alone against Iran.

An analysis by Yonah Jeremy Bob argues that Iran's strategy of patience in negotiations with the Trump administration has paid off following the US midterm election on Tuesday. The article claims that with Democrats gaining leverage in Congress, they can pressure Trump through investigations, appointments, and defense budgets, potentially forcing him to ease pressure on Iran. The regime, described as messianic and fanatical, prefers to hold onto its nuclear program rather than make long-term concessions, even at the cost of its people's suffering. The piece notes that Iran has not enriched uranium since June 2025 and could have conceded a three-year freeze without losing much, but chose not to. It warns that Israel must engage more with both Trump and Congressional Democrats while being ready to act alone to ensure its survival. The analysis cites the regime's history of enduring an eight-year war with Iraq and killing over 10,000 of its own people to maintain power.