Even Texas and Kansas on the verge of a flip: All signs point to a 'blue tsunami' against Trump

Less than a month before the US midterm elections, all signs point to a large Democratic wave that could bring about a flip even in staunch Republican strongholds like Texas and Kansas. Polls show a Democratic advantage in the Senate and House of Representatives, amid public frustration over the war in Iran, the cost of living, and soaring fuel prices. The article reviews the prominent Democratic candidates and the chances of a Democratic takeover of Congress.

Less than a month before the US midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026, all signs point to a large Democratic wave that could bring about a flip even in staunch Republican strongholds. The article reviews the state of polls and models, noting that the Cook Political Report model estimates a gain of 9 to 19 seats for Democrats in the House of Representatives, while the Nate Silver model gives Democrats a 72.6% chance of winning a majority in the Senate. Siena College/New York Times polls show Democratic Senate candidates leading or tied in Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, and Alaska. Texas has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1988, but James Talarico is leading there against Republican Ken Paxton. Kansas has not sent a Democrat to the Senate in 94 years, but Adam Hamilton is in a tight race against incumbent Republican Roger Marshall. The main reasons for the trend: public frustration over the war in Iran, soaring fuel prices, and the cost of living. Republicans currently control both chambers of Congress, but the article notes that the "curse" of midterm elections is expected to hurt them.