Elections-2026: who passes the Knesset threshold according to a new poll

A new Kan TV poll reveals significant shifts in Israel's political landscape ahead of the parliamentary elections. Gadi Eisenkot's "Yashar!" party leads with 23 seats, while Netanyahu's Likud gets 21. Naftali Bennett's return with the "Be Yahad" project earns him 12 mandates. The balance between opposition and coalition is extremely fragile: 52 vs 51 seats, with Arab parties controlling 13. The "Ihud" party with 4 seats could play a key role.

A poll published by Kan TV reveals significant shifts in Israel's political landscape ahead of the parliamentary elections. According to the data, the centrist party "Yashar!" led by Gadi Eisenkot leads with 23 mandates. The ruling Likud party under Benjamin Netanyahu gets 21 seats. Naftali Bennett's return with the new "Be Yahad" project brings him 12 mandates, placing him in third position. Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu gets 9 seats, Yair Golan's New Democrats bloc gets 8. "Yaadut HaTorah", "Otzma Yehudit", Shas, and the Joint Arab List each get 8 mandates. "Religious Zionism" of Smotrich and Feiglin gets 6 seats, Ra'am gets 5. The "Ihud" party crosses the threshold with 4 mandates. The balance between opposition and coalition is extremely fragile: opposition camps get 52 mandates, the coalition gets 51, and Arab parties get 13. The 4 mandates of the "Ihud" party could play a key role in forming the government.