Elections 2026: The Likud map has changed - how every city in Israel voted for the party since 2009

An analysis of eight election campaigns from 2009 to 2022 reveals a profound shift in the Likud support map: the periphery peaked in 2020 and then eroded, while central cities remained stable or declined. Dimona nearly tripled its support, Givatayim dropped below 16%. The 2020 elections were the peak year in all 18 cities examined.

An analysis of eight election campaigns from 2009 to 2022, based on data from the Central Elections Committee, reveals a profound shift in the Likud support map. While nationally there was almost no change (from 21.6% in 2009 to 23.4% in 2022), at the city level the picture is completely different. The periphery went on a long journey: Dimona soared from 28.2% in 2009 to a peak of 61.8% in 2020, then dropped to 50.9% in 2022. Beersheba rose from 27.8% to a peak of 50.2% in 2020, then fell to 40.3%. Eilat went from 24.6% to 43.7%. The March 2020 elections were Likud's peak year in all 18 cities examined, including in the center: Ra'anana (27.1%), Kfar Saba (27.3%) and Hod Hasharon (23.6%). Since 2020, erosion has been recorded in all cities, with the sharpest in the periphery: Dimona (-10.9 points), Tiberias (-10.6), Lod (-10.4) and Afula (-10.2). In contrast, Givatayim remained almost flat throughout the period (from 20% to 15.8%). The analysis notes that vote switching between Likud and other right-wing parties does not necessarily represent an ideological change.