A unique sample of its kind: What will be the election results? All the data inside

Channel 14's analytical model, based on AI analysis of online discourse, indicates an advantage for the Netanyahu bloc with 62 seats compared to 45 for the opposition and 13 for the Arab parties. Likud leads with 28 seats, Yashar! party of Eisenkot is second with 22. Hendel-Zalicha and Winter are below the electoral threshold.

Channel 14's analytical model, based on AI analysis of approximately 1.31 million online interactions, presents a forecast 13 days before the Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. According to the forecast, the Netanyahu bloc wins 62 seats, the opposition 45, and the Arab parties 13. Likud leads with 28 seats, Yashar! party led by Gadi Eisenkot is second with 22. Shas receives 11, Otzma Yehudit 9, Together (Bennett-Lapid) 9, the Joint List 8, United Torah Judaism, Smotrich-Zehut, Yisrael Beiteinu, and the Democrats 7 each, Ra'am 5. Hendel-Zalicha (1.85%) and Winter (1.4%) remain below the electoral threshold (3.25%). The model estimates that 220,000 votes (4.3%) may not be counted due to support for lists that do not pass the threshold. The double envelopes, estimated at 10-11 seats, according to the model lean towards the right. The model identifies a 'bunker effect' preventing voter movement between blocs even during criticism of the government. The article emphasizes that this is an experimental tool and not an election poll.