The Magic Number: How Many Votes Are Needed to Enter the Knesset?

A report by N12 details how many votes a list needs to pass the electoral threshold (3.25%) in the 2026 elections. According to the Taub Center, with a 70% voter turnout, a list would require 165,635 votes. Lists at risk are mentioned: Amcha Yisrael and The Reservists-HaKalkalit.

An N12 report details how many votes a list needs to pass the electoral threshold (3.25% of valid votes) in the elections for the 26th Knesset. According to data from the Taub Center, assuming about 99.3% of votes will be valid, if voter turnout stands at 70% (similar to 2022), a list would require 165,635 votes. In a scenario of 60% turnout, 141,973 votes would be needed, and at 80%, 189,297 votes would be required. Each one percent change in voter turnout adds or subtracts about 2,370 votes. The report notes that due to the growth in the eligible voter population, the number of required votes will be higher than in 2022 (154,854 votes) in almost every scenario. Additionally, lists at risk are mentioned, including Amcha Yisrael of Ofer Winter and The Reservists-HaKalkalit list of Yoaz Hendel.