Security establishment fears: Hamas planning a move that could change the reality in Gaza

The Israeli security establishment has identified a shift in Hamas's conduct in Gaza. According to intelligence information, the organization is considering a significant military move against IDF forces along the yellow line, including a raid on outposts or an attempt to abduct soldiers, with the aim of changing the reality in the Strip and forcing Israel into a ceasefire agreement.

The Israeli security establishment has identified a shift in Hamas's conduct in Gaza. According to intelligence information presented by Shin Bet chief David Zini to the cabinet, Hamas is considering a significant military move against IDF forces along the yellow line. The organization is examining several scenarios: a broad raid on IDF outposts causing many casualties, or an attempt to abduct soldiers. Hamas estimates that such a move would draw Israel into limited fighting, at the end of which a ceasefire agreement would be forced, granting the organization renewed bargaining chips. The report is based on a comprehensive intelligence picture of Hamas's capabilities, its motivation, and the understanding that the organization is undeterred and continues to prepare for strategic action against Israel, after three years of war. A security source notes that Hamas has the ability to rehabilitate and organize, and that after every elimination it appoints replacements, enabling the functioning of its military wing.