Just before the elections: the Haredi commentator points to 5 dangers for Netanyahu

The Haredi commentator Yossi Elituv warns of five dangers facing Benjamin Netanyahu and the right-wing bloc ahead of the elections: small parties running below the electoral threshold, internal divisions within the Haredi public, the opposition's preparations to take over the Knesset, reliance on a security event that will change the picture, and a lack of a sense of mobilization among right-wing voters compared to the left.

The Haredi commentator Yossi Elituv warns in a comprehensive article of five significant dangers facing Benjamin Netanyahu and the right-wing bloc ahead of the elections. The first danger is small parties like Achi of the Abargel court and Noam of Avi Maoz, which he says may fall below the electoral threshold and burn hundreds of thousands of votes, similar to the vote-wasting of 1992. The second danger is internal divisions within the Haredi public, which he says harm the parties' preparedness and their ability to maximize their electoral power. The third danger is the opposition's preparations to take over the Knesset: electing a Knesset speaker instead of Amir Ohana, controlling committees, and promoting a change to Basic Law: The Government that would prevent an indicted person from forming a government. Elituv even sketches a scenario of a minority government headed by Gadi Eisenkot, with Naftali Bennett in Defense, Yair Lapid out, Avigdor Lieberman in Finance, and Yair Golan in Justice. The fourth danger is reliance on a security event like an American attack on Iran or an Israeli operation that will change the political trend, as well as the assumption that Donald Trump will act at a timing that will help Netanyahu. The fifth danger is the sense of mobilization: Elituv claims that among audiences identified with high-tech, the left, and support for Eisenkot, there is a higher willingness to go to the polls, while on the right side he does not see a parallel mobilization of Haredim and right-wingers.