Fear of all-out regional war: "Especially dangerous two weeks"

The Lebanese newspaper Al-Modon reports on diplomatic warnings of a possible Israeli military escalation in the coming two weeks, alongside growing pressure on Hezbollah in security and legal arenas, including an investigation into a shipment of explosives and a demand to transfer it to a higher court.

The Lebanese newspaper Al-Modon reports on diplomatic warnings conveyed to Lebanon, alerting to a possible military escalation by Israel in the coming two weeks. Simultaneously, pressure on Hezbollah is increasing on various fronts: an investigation into a shipment of explosives intercepted on its way to Beirut, steps against arms smuggling and funding channels, and activity against a pharmaceutical plant of the organization. According to the report, there is a demand to transfer the investigation of the explosives affair to the Supreme Judicial Council in Lebanon, a body that handles serious security offenses. The newspaper assesses that this step could lead to the investigation of senior Hezbollah officials and even open the door to demands for its political and organizational disarmament. However, at this stage, this is a scenario raised by the Lebanese commentator, not an official decision. It was also reported that the President of Lebanon ordered the reinforcement of security forces presence in towns in southern Lebanon not under Israeli control. Hezbollah identifies these steps as a coordinated effort to weaken the organization, and its senior officials have intensified their statements against the government. The newspaper warns of a scenario where regional escalation and internal Lebanese tensions feed each other, and attributes to Israel an intention to expand control in southern Lebanon and push the Shia population northward.