Benjamin Netanyahu enters the dilemma of his life: "We will know in the coming weeks"

Maariv pollster Dr. Menachem Lazar analyzes the latest mandate poll data a month before the 2026 elections. Lazar presents the dilemma in Likud: act to crush Ofer Winter and maximize the party's power, or maximize the bloc's power and avoid a confrontation. He notes a weakening in Likud since Winter's entry, and estimates that the internal quarrels in the opposition bloc have distanced it from a majority of 61 mandates.

Maariv pollster Dr. Menachem Lazar analyzes the latest mandate poll data, about a month before the 2026 elections. Lazar presents the central dilemma in Likud: whether to act to maximize the party's power, while trying to crush Ofer Winter, or to maximize the power of the bloc and avoid a confrontation with Winter. He notes that the weakening trend of Likud, which intensified since Winter entered the race, has slightly weakened, but the internal quarrels within the Zionist opposition bloc have distanced it from the goal of a majority of 61 mandates. Lazar notes that the union between the Arab parties has not yet brought a significant leap, and the big question is what the voter turnout will be in the Arab society, whose potential can reach 20 mandates.