World gamblers are excited: Polymarket has already crowned the next prime minister

A day before the elections, the Polymarket platform presents a clear picture: the 'Yashar' party has a 72% probability of winning according to global gamblers, while Likud stands at 29%. The betting market on the identity of the winning party is turning over more than $3.2 million.

A day before the polls open for the 2026 elections in Israel, the popular prediction platform Polymarket presents a clear picture regarding the identity of the next prime minister. According to global gamblers, the 'Yashar' party led by Gadi Eisenkot has a crushing 72% probability of winning, while Likud lags behind with only 29%. Other parties like Shas and 'Yahad' barely receive any gambler confidence. The betting market on the identity of the winning party is turning over more than $3.2 million. Additionally, gamblers signal absolute stability regarding the election date, with a 97% probability that they will take place as scheduled. The article notes that prediction markets are based on the assumption that investors risking private money conduct thorough research.