Who will actually show up at the polls? The number that could shake up the elections

Channel 14 commentator Shlomo Filber analyzes the factors that could decide the election results in two weeks. He claims that 400,000 Likud voters from 2022 have not abandoned the party, criticizes polls showing a drop to 18 seats, and estimates that the right-wing bloc will win with 61-64 seats, depending on turnout among Haredim and Arabs.

Two weeks before the Knesset elections, Channel 14 commentator Shlomo Filber analyzes the factors that could decide the outcome. He claims that 400,000 Likud voters from 2022 have not abandoned the party but remain on the right and will go to the polls. Filber criticizes polls showing Likud dropping to 18 seats, calling them 'artificial' and aimed at creating a gap with the Yashar party. He notes that the real test will be at the ballot box, not in polls. Filber also addresses the Blue and White party, saying it is too early to write it off, and that Gantz has strengthened in the past week and crossed the electoral threshold. The Haredi parties, he says, are already preparing to divide the political spoils but can only achieve gains within a right-wing government. He predicts they will together reach 18 seats or more. Filber also mentions the pressure on small parties, like Winter and Zalicha, struggling to cross the threshold. He states that assessments of a clear left-wing bloc victory are hardly heard, with talk at most of a tie. His forecast remains: the right-wing bloc will win with 61-64 seats, depending on turnout among Haredim and Arabs.