US midterm elections 2026: Four key House races that could determine control of Congress

Americans head to the polls Tuesday for midterm elections that will determine control of Congress during President Donald Trump's second term. Democrats need to flip one or two House seats for a majority, per Cook Political Report. The Jerusalem Post highlights four key races: Florida's 25th (Moskowitz v Singer), New York's 17th (Lawler v Conley), Ohio's 7th (Miller v Poindexter), and California's 45th (Steel v Tran). Issues include affordability, Israel, and redistricting.

Americans vote on Tuesday in midterm elections that will determine control of Congress for the final two years of President Donald Trump's second term. Democrats need to flip only one or two House seats to regain a majority, according to the Cook Political Report, which lists 21 toss-up races — 16 held by Republicans and five by Democrats. The Jerusalem Post highlights four key races. In Florida's 25th district, Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz faces Republican Scott Singer in a newly drawn competitive seat where about 25% of residents are Jewish. Both candidates strongly support Israel. In New York's 17th, Republican Mike Lawler seeks a third term against Democrat Cait Conley, a West Point graduate and former Special Forces officer, with Israel and antisemitism as major issues. In Ohio's 7th, Republican Max Miller faces Democrat Brian Poindexter amid economic concerns and personal misconduct allegations against both candidates. In California's 45th, Republican Michelle Steel faces Democrat Derek Tran in a district with a large Asian American population, where Steel has focused on public safety and Tran on abortion rights and affordability. Historically, the president's party tends to lose seats in midterm elections.