Trump doesn't want another war with Iran. Will he have a choice?

Eldad Shavit analyzes Trump's dilemma with Iran: he prefers to avoid another war and seeks a diplomatic achievement, but Tehran's rejection of his demands may lead him to conclude he has no choice but to strike. Netanyahu pushes for action immediately after the midterms, but Trump is not obligated to adopt the Israeli timetable. Vance's letter to Rezaei indicates a diplomatic option is still on the table.

Has Trump already decided to strike Iran again? Eldad Shavit, a senior researcher at INSS, argues that preparing war plans is not a decision to go to war. Trump still needs to be convinced that another strike will bring a result he has not achieved so far. Netanyahu sees Iran's current situation as an opportunity not to be missed and has asked to renew strikes before the elections, but Trump opposed the timing. The key lies with Trump, not Netanyahu. Trump prefers to avoid another round of fighting, but as Tehran continues to reject his demands, he may conclude he has no choice. The letter sent by Vice President Vance to Mohsen Rezaei indicates that the possibility of reaching an agreement has not yet been taken off the table. The midterm elections were a restraining factor, but after November 3, part of the constraint will be removed. Shavit warns that another strike does not guarantee a decisive outcome, and the question is what will happen if even after it, the regime in Tehran refuses to capitulate.