The warning before 10/7: "Hamas will act by the end of September." New details.

The intelligence service of the United Arab Emirates warned the Shin Bet in September 2023 that Hamas might take violent action by the end of the month. Three senior sources confirmed the information, which was also received through another channel. In a phone call between UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed and Prime Minister Netanyahu, bin Zayed verified that the message was received. Netanyahu replied that he was aware of the information and that it was being handled. After September ended, Israeli officials told security officials in the Emirates that the source had lied. Days later, the October 7 attack began.

The intelligence service of the United Arab Emirates conveyed a warning to the Shin Bet in September 2023, stating that Hamas might take violent action by the end of that month. Three senior sources with direct knowledge confirmed the matter, noting that the Shin Bet also received identical information from another intelligence channel. A few days after receiving the warning, the well-known phone call took place between UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. During the call, bin Zayed verified that the message was received and also conveyed to Netanyahu. The Prime Minister replied that he was aware of the information and that it was being handled. At the end of September, Israeli officials contacted security officials in the United Arab Emirates and told them: "Look, nothing happened. Your source lied to you." Just days later, the surprise attack on October 7 began. Additionally, the article reveals information about a message sent by then-Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar weeks before the attack, stating that "an earthquake is expected in prisons due to the prisoner issue." The security establishment linked this to the case of Elizabeth Tsurkov, the Israeli researcher who was kidnapped and held in Iraq, as a new development was identified around her at that time. A senior Iranian official even approached Hamas and offered the organization to take responsibility for the negotiations for her release. The combination of these factors strengthened the assessment that Sinwar's message was related to the Tsurkov affair, not the planned attack.