The millions on Netanyahu: Polymarket predicts the emerging election winner

Polymarket predicts a victory for Gadi Eisenkot and the "Yashar!" party in the 2026 elections with a 69% chance, while Likud stands at 32%. In government formation contracts, the gap narrows.

Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction platform, forecasts a clear victory for Gadi Eisenkot and the "Yashar!" party in the 2026 elections. In contracts regarding the winning party, "Yashar!" leads with a 69% probability, following a 36% rise and a trading volume of approximately $303,000. Likud is in second place with only 32%, after a 43% drop, despite a high trading volume of about $439,000. Other parties receive single-digit percentages: Naftali Bennett's "Together" crashes 49% to one percent, while Shas and "The Democrats" get less than one percent. Meanwhile, a new trading market examines the scenario of forming a government by February 2027: Likud has a 48% chance to form or sit in the government, and Eisenkot's party has 79 cents per contract.