Sources explain: the new scenario in the Haredi parties that will shuffle the cards

Haredi sources assess that Shas and United Torah Judaism may refrain from recommending Netanyahu or Eisenkot and stay in the opposition, at least initially, as long as no solution is found to the conscription law issue. Meanwhile, the change bloc is examining a move to replace Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana after the new Knesset is sworn in, aiming to influence the parliamentary agenda and advance legislation even before a government is formed.

Haredi sources close to the political system assess that Shas and United Torah Judaism may refrain from recommending Benjamin Netanyahu or Gadi Eisenkot for president, and stay in the opposition at least initially. The main reason is the conscription law crisis: as long as no solution is found that can withstand judicial review, the fear of the law being disqualified by the High Court will prevent the Haredi parties from joining a coalition. Meanwhile, the change bloc is examining a move to replace Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana after the new Knesset is sworn in. The move is meant to allow the bloc to influence the parliamentary agenda and advance legislative initiatives, including establishing a state commission of inquiry into the events of October 7 and limiting the prime minister's tenure to two terms. According to the plan, after a new Knesset speaker is elected, the bloc's parties will work to establish the Knesset Committee and the Constitution Committee, and to form a majority in committees that will allow legislation to be advanced even before a government is sworn in. The Haredi sources assess that if the change bloc succeeds in mustering a majority to replace the Knesset speaker, it may also succeed in mustering support to form a government, including a minority government relying on Ra'am from outside. However, Shas and United Torah Judaism themselves are not expected to provide active support for the move to replace Ohana, and will prefer to wait for the election results.