Military expert names three countries Russia could attack
Military historian David Swift named Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania as the most likely targets of a potential Russian attack due to their geography and small populations. He singled out Lithuania as particularly vulnerable because of its proximity to Kaliningrad and Belarus, suggesting the possible use of paramilitary forces. The expert also discussed the creation of a military register in Britain and the potential return of conscription.
Military historian and author David Swift, in an interview with Express, named three countries he believes Russia is most likely to attack amid rising tensions in Eastern Europe: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. The expert explained their vulnerability due to geographic location, small size, and low population. He particularly highlighted Lithuania, which borders the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad to the west and Belarus to the east. According to Swift, this makes Lithuania susceptible to actions that could be officially disconnected from the Russian armed forces, including the possible use of paramilitary formations similar to the "little green men" in Donbas in 2014. Swift also commented on the situation regarding Poland, calling it a less likely target because it is "much stronger." Additionally, the expert discussed the debate over creating a military register in Britain—a voluntary database of citizens willing to assist the country in case of an attack. He also addressed the potential return of mandatory conscription, noting that unemployed university graduates could be subject to it.