Maariv pollster admits mistake - and reveals scenario that could change the elections

Dr. Menachem Lazar, a Maariv pollster, admits to pollsters' failure in the 2026 elections and explains that there was an underestimation of the Netanyahu bloc and Benjamin Netanyahu's strength. Lazar notes that a similar phenomenon was seen in the 2015 elections, when Netanyahu increased Likud's strength on the last day. He warns that the counting of double envelopes could change the seat distribution, especially for parties on the threshold like the Jewish Home and Naftali Bennett, who were short 1,400 votes, and Meretz, which was short several thousand votes. Lazar adds that the Arab parties may drop by one or two seats, and that the overall picture seems clear: neither side won, and the debate is over who lost less.