Four sectors, one decisive figure: Who will reach the polls? | Elections 26

The article examines expected voter turnout in four key sectors in the 2026 elections: seculars, Likud voters, ultra-Orthodox, and Arabs. It compares previous voting data and analyzes the potential for change, focusing on apathy, disappointment, and mobilization efforts. The secular public is stable with small fluctuations. Likud voters recorded a 5% increase in the previous elections, but now face apathy and disappointment. The ultra-Orthodox public recorded an 8% increase in the previous elections, but a decline is expected. The Arab public is the big unknown, with a potential for 16 seats if turnout increases significantly. The article notes that in the latest poll, the gap between coalition and opposition supporters stands at only 2%.