As the Bloc Tie Remains Stable, It's Worth Looking at the Small Parties | Tzuriel Sharon

An i24NEWS poll maintains a stable tie between the blocs. The major parties are weakening: Likud loses two seats, Yashar! of Gadi Eisenkot drops to 20. In contrast, Bennett and Lapid are strengthening, Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism are rising. Ofer Winter slightly strengthens to four seats after a hemorrhage. The commentator notes the battle will be decided at the margins: the electoral threshold and turnout rates.

The fresh i24NEWS poll maintains a stable tie between the blocs, with no dramatic change from previous weeks. Commentator Tzuriel Sharon notes that in the absence of a security or political game-changer, stagnation is expected to continue. The real headlines are within the blocs: the major parties are weakening in favor of satellite parties. In the change bloc, Yashar! of Gadi Eisenkot drops to 20 seats—a three-month low. The mandates are moving to Naftali Bennett (11 seats, up from eight) and Yair Lapid. In the right bloc, Likud loses two seats to Otzma Yehudit (nine) and Religious Zionism (six). The intriguing figure: Ofer Winter, who after a consistent hemorrhage nearly fell below the electoral threshold, slightly strengthens to four seats, despite a direct Likud campaign against him. Sharon concludes that the battle is still open and will be decided at the margins: the electoral threshold, turnout rates, and each camp's ability to get out its voters.