50-50 if it passes: The law that could become a game-changer and dismantle Likud after the elections

The article examines political scenarios surrounding the 'Indictment Law', which could prevent Netanyahu from receiving the mandate to form the government after the elections. According to assessments in Likud, as long as the law is not a done deal, the faction will remain united, but if it passes, an internal succession struggle could erupt. The battle over the law is defined as '50-50', with Likud seeking defectors to torpedo it. The article also reviews the implications of a tie scenario on the president's role and Netanyahu's stance on Ben Gvir.

The article examines political scenarios surrounding the 'Indictment Law', which could prevent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from receiving the mandate to form the government after the elections. According to assessments heard in Likud circles, as long as the law is not a done deal, the faction is expected to remain united around Netanyahu, but if it passes in the Knesset and the High Court, an internal succession struggle could erupt. The battle over the law is defined as '50-50', with Likud seeking Knesset members who will refuse to support it. The article also reviews the tie scenario, in which the president has broader discretion, and Netanyahu's stance on Itamar Ben Gvir: if he has 61 seats, he will keep him in the coalition, but if he needs to bring in a centrist party that demands his removal, he may agree.