Polymarket bets favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election

Polymarket prediction market odds on Monday favored Gadi Eisenkot of the Yashar party to become Israel's next prime minister after the October 27 election, with a roughly 49% chance, compared with 31% for Benjamin Netanyahu and 16% for Naftali Bennett. A separate market on when Netanyahu would leave office recorded $124.5 million in trading volume.

Polymarket prediction market odds on Monday favored Gadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, to become Israel's next prime minister after the October 27 election. The platform gave Eisenkot a roughly 49% chance, compared with 31% for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and 16% for former prime minister Naftali Bennett. The market had recorded approximately $46 million in trading volume. A separate market asking when Netanyahu would leave office recorded more than $124.5 million in trading volume, with traders placing a roughly 38% probability on him leaving by December 31, 2026. In a third market, Yashar was favored over Likud to win the most Knesset seats, with a 68% probability and nearly $1 million in trading volume. The article notes that the figures reflect traders' positions on the platform and are not polling results or guarantees of the election outcome.