The battle for votes in the Haredi society: Who is gaining strength and who is left behind?

A poll by the company "Askaria" indicates a decline in the rate of undecided voters in the Haredi sector from 15% at the beginning of September to about 10% towards the end of the month. United Torah Judaism maintains about 60% among those who have decided, and Shas holds 26%-28%. Among the new parties, only "The Haredi Public" led by Moti Leitner passes 1%, but remains far from the electoral threshold.

As election day approaches, a trend of consolidation is emerging among voters in the Haredi sector. According to data published by the research company "Askaria," which specializes in public opinion polls within the Haredi sector, the rate of undecided voters dropped from about 15% at the beginning of September to about 10% towards the end of the month. Despite many undecided voters making up their minds, the distribution of votes among those who have already decided remains almost unchanged, and the differences are within the margin of error. United Torah Judaism maintains about 60% of those who have decided, and Shas holds 26% to 28%. In the arena of new Haredi parties, only one list manages to generate a presence: "The Haredi Public" led by Moti Leitner. In telephone polls, it receives 2.6% of the entire sector (3.0% among those who have decided), and in online polls, 5% to 7.5%. The other new lists — "The Congregation," "Achi," "Black Color," and "Noam" — do not cross the 1% threshold in any poll. Dudi Dror, CEO of "Askaria," said, "A month ago we described a sector that was hesitating, with a rate of undecided voters double that of 2022," and that now "we see the decision beginning." According to him, those who decide are divided among the parties like those who already decided, without any outward migration. He cooled the enthusiasm for the new parties: "Those who waited for the new parties to dismantle the Haredi bloc do not see that in the data."