Ofer Shelah unequivocal about 'Roar of the Lion': 'A mistake stemming from historical ignorance'

Ofer Shelah stated in an interview with Radio 103FM that the assumption that a military strike can change the regime in Iran is a mistake stemming from historical ignorance. He compared the situation to the Israeli invasion of Beirut in 1982 and cast doubt on the likelihood of an internal uprising under an external attack.

Ofer Shelah, a commentator and former Knesset member, argues that the assumption that a military strike can change the regime in Iran is a mistake rooted in historical ignorance. In an interview with Radio 103FM, he compared the current situation to the Israeli invasion of Beirut in 1982, which ended without a regime change in Lebanon. Shelah also questioned the likelihood that an external attack would lead to an internal uprising, noting that citizens tend to unite against an external enemy. As an example, he cited the NATO bombings of Serbia, after which Milosevic fell only two years later. According to him, no Israeli can be happy with the current situation, but the initiators of the move did not take these factors into account.