Knesset polls show wide disparities, ultimate outcome still unclear in heated election race

Five recent Knesset seat polls present unusually wide disparities, with Likud ranging from 18 to 32 seats and Eisenkot's Yashar stable at 22-23. The coalition bloc ranges from 49 to 63 seats across polls, while smaller parties hover around the electoral threshold. The average shows Likud leading narrowly at 23 seats, with Yashar at 22.2, but the political map remains deadlocked one month before the election. Bennett's B'Yachad ranks third with 10.6 seats, followed by the Democrats with 9.8 and Yisrael Beytenu with eight. The bloc averages remain far from a decisive outcome, with the coalition and right-wing bloc averaging 54.6 seats compared to 50.6 for the Zionist opposition. The Arab parties average 12.4 seats, while the Reservists-Economic Party averages just 2.4 seats. The poll averages conceal enormous disparities among pollsters, and smaller parties near the threshold could reshape the entire picture. The article does not explain why Channel 14 and i24NEWS show a significantly stronger Likud than other pollsters, nor does it detail methodology or which specific parties risk falling below the threshold.

Five Knesset seat polls published in recent days present unusually wide disparities, but agree on one point: with one month until the election, Israel's political system remains far from a decisive outcome. While Channel 14 and i24NEWS give Likud a clear advantage, polls by Maariv, N12, and Channel 13 show Gadi Eisenkot leading or nearly tied with the party. The gaps between the blocs are equally dramatic, with the coalition bloc ranging from 49 seats in Maariv's poll to 63 in Channel 14's, while smaller parties hovering around the electoral threshold could reshape the entire picture. The poll average produces an exceptionally close contest at the top: Likud leads with an average of 23 seats, with Eisenkot's Yashar just behind at 22.2. The similarity in the averages, however, conceals an enormous disparity among the pollsters: Likud ranges from 18 seats in the Maariv and Channel 13 polls to 32 in Channel 14's, while Eisenkot's party is unusually stable, ranging only from 22 to 23 seats. Bennett's B'Yachad ranks third with an average of 10.6 seats, followed by the Democrats with 9.8 and Yisrael Beytenu with eight. The bloc averages also remain far from producing a decisive outcome: the coalition and right-wing bloc averages 54.6 seats, compared with 50.6 for the Zionist opposition. The Arab parties average 12.4 seats, while the Reservists-Economic Party averages just 2.4 seats.