From voter turnout to weather: 10 points that will decide the elections

ynet publishes an analysis of 10 factors that may determine the outcome of the elections for the 26th Knesset, taking place today. The article reviews expected voter turnout, the impact of double envelopes, voting data in the Arab and ultra-Orthodox sectors, youth involvement, the identity of the largest party, the time needed to form a government, the Elector software, and weather conditions.

ynet publishes a comprehensive analysis of 10 factors that may determine the outcome of the elections for the 26th Knesset, taking place today (Tuesday, October 27, 2026). The article reviews expected voter turnout (about 75%, compared to 70% in the previous elections), noting that high turnout raises the electoral threshold and makes it harder for small parties. It addresses the impact of double envelopes (about 650,000) on the timing of results publication, and voting data in the Arab sector, where over 14 seats for Arab parties would be an achievement but could complicate coalition formation. The article examines youth involvement, uncertainty around ultra-Orthodox voting due to the new conscription outline and new leadership in United Torah Judaism, and whether the size of the largest party determines who forms the government. It explains the time frame for forming a government (28 days + 14 optional) and the importance of the organizing committee, and mentions the controversial Elector software approved by the chairman of the Central Elections Committee. Finally, it notes that weather conditions may affect voter turnout.