Why Trump Decided to Pause the War Against Iran - Analysis
Analysts believe that US President Donald Trump decided to pause a full-scale war against Iran at least until the November midterm elections in the US to avoid negative political and economic consequences. The delay will also allow replenishing ammunition stocks, but experts do not rule out further escalation after the elections.
According to Israeli and Middle Eastern analytical institutions, US President Donald Trump has set a course to pause a full-scale war against Iran at least until the November midterm elections in the US. This decision is linked to political and economic factors: a potential war could negatively affect the Republican position among voters, and rising tensions could trigger a global energy crisis and increase fuel prices. Additionally, according to Western media, US armed forces may have significantly reduced their stocks of missiles for air defense systems and other ammunition, and a three-month pause will allow replenishment. Experts believe the delay does not rule out further escalation: negotiations with the new Iranian leadership will not yield significant results on either the opening of the Strait of Hormuz or the nuclear program. In April 2026, the US Congress authorized Trump to conduct a military operation for 60 days, so the administration finds it advantageous to maintain a pause or limit itself to low-intensity strikes to avoid seeking new approval. After the elections, the situation may become more complicated due to a possible loss of the Republican majority in Congress. The Pentagon and US Central Command believe that airstrikes are no longer as effective, and maritime and economic blockades remain more effective tools.