War in Vain - Israel and US May Fail to Achieve Main Goals in Iran

The US may end the war with Iran after the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but key threats—Tehran's nuclear program and missile potential—risk remaining unresolved. Washington is ready to lift the blockade of ports in exchange for free navigation. Trump considers exiting the war even without a nuclear deal, viewing the opening of the strait as a sufficient result. Israeli threats remain open.

The United States is considering ending the war with Iran after the opening of the Strait of Hormuz, but key threats from Tehran may remain unresolved. Iran's nuclear program and growing missile potential risk not being part of a future agreement. Washington is ready to lift the blockade of Iranian ports if Tehran ensures free commercial navigation through the strait. US President Donald Trump, according to available data, is considering exiting the war even without a nuclear deal, presenting the opening of the strait as a sufficient result. The US assumes that after the destruction of part of Iran's nuclear facilities in 2025, Tehran will need significant time to restore the program, and they expect to detect new attempts to resume development through intelligence. However, this scenario means that the two most serious threats to Israel will remain unresolved: the complete dismantlement of nuclear infrastructure has not occurred, and the ballistic missile program continues. Earlier, Trump said he had refused a planned large-scale strike on Iran to reach an agreement. As a result, a war that was supposed to weaken the strategic capabilities of the Islamic Republic may end with an agreement around the strait, while the main security issues for Israel remain open.