Utter Shock in Israel: The Big Question About Iran's Missile Array

Nearly half a year after the surprise attack that began the war with Iran, Israel's concern over the recovery rate of Iran's terror army is growing. The IDF has identified that Iran is restoring some capabilities at a pace that surprised the defense establishment, despite more than 2,600 targets attacked and about 30,000 strikes by Israel and the US. The central question is the rate of production renewal, which could reach 100-300 missiles per month.

Nearly half a year after the surprise attack that began the war with Iran, and despite the heavy blows it suffered, Israel's concern over the recovery rate of Iran's terror army is growing. For months, professional IDF officials estimated that the extensive damage to Iran's military industry would delay the restoration of capabilities for years, but now the IDF is identifying a different picture: Iran is managing to restore some capabilities at a pace that surprised the defense establishment. During the war, more than 2,600 targets related to Iran's missile array and military industry were attacked, and in total, Israel and the United States carried out about 30,000 strikes. Israeli security officials acknowledge that the Iranians have found creative ways to focus resources on restoring key weapons systems, even while other parts of the country still suffer heavy damage. The central question now is not how many missiles remain in Tehran's hands, but how quickly it can renew its stockpile. If Iran manages to return to a production rate of 100 to 300 missiles per month, it could restore its arsenal to levels recorded last June by the middle of next year. Even at a lower rate, continued consistent restoration could bring the ballistic missile threat back to the center of Israel's security agenda within a few years. The IDF responded to the Jerusalem Post that central and diverse components of Iran's military capabilities were damaged, and that the IDF is continuously monitoring restoration efforts and updating its assessments.