Trump's Moment of Truth: Three Scenarios for the Conflict with Iran

US President Donald Trump faces a moment of truth on Iran after the failure of his diplomatic strategy. Experts Ruthie Pines Feldman and Ehud Pines outline three scenarios: acknowledging the failure of negotiations, a war of attrition, or a full-scale military campaign. Iran, they argue, seeks to buy time, ease pressure, and influence elections in the US and Israel. Each option carries risks for both countries, and in the coming days it will become clear which path Trump will choose.

US President Donald Trump is facing a difficult choice regarding Iran after the failure of his diplomatic strategy. Experts Ruthie Pines Feldman and Ehud Pines from Israeli academic institutions describe three possible scenarios: acknowledging the failure of negotiations, a war of attrition, or a full-scale military campaign. Each option carries high risks for the US and Israel. Iran, according to the authors, seeks to buy time and ease pressure, as well as influence Trump's domestic political standing. Trump's meeting with Netanyahu took place against a backdrop of escalating threats, making a diplomatic resolution unlikely. The consequences for Israel depend on the chosen path: a compromise agreement could leave a strategic threat, a war of attrition is more acceptable, and a full-scale conflict would inevitably affect Israel. The window of opportunity is closing, and in the coming days it will become clear which path the American president will choose.