Three rules of geopolitics that no longer work in the Middle East

An analytical article sums up the Jewish year 5786, recording the collapse of three geopolitical postulates in the Middle East: distance no longer guarantees security (Israel struck Iran), the Islamic world did not unite against Israel, and Iran lost its status as an inviolable power. The author notes Israel's transformation into a new type of regional power capable of operating far beyond its borders, but points to unresolved problems: the Palestinian issue, dependence on the US, and the rise of Turkey.

An analytical article sums up the Jewish year 5786, recording fundamental changes in the Middle East. The author highlights three collapsed geopolitical rules. First: distance as a guarantee of protection from retaliation — Israel carried out retaliatory strikes directly on Iran, which for decades waged a hybrid war through proxy forces. Second: the expectation of an immediate unification of the Islamic world against Israel did not materialize — no country with diplomatic relations severed them, and a shared interest in containing Iran brought Jerusalem closer to Sunni monarchies. Third: Iran lost its status as an inviolable power. The article describes Israel as a new type of regional power, capable of successfully operating beyond its borders, with a record arms deal with Greece worth nearly three billion euros. However, systemic problems are noted: military power grows faster than the ability to convert it into political results, the Palestinian issue remains unresolved, dependence on the US persists, and against the backdrop of Iran's weakening, Turkey emerges as the main contender for regional influence.