The Palestinian Track between the American 'Roadmap' and the Reshaping of the Regional Order

A strategic analysis of the Palestinian track highlighting the duality of the American 'peace' language versus the reality on the ground. It addresses the dispute over the second phase of the disarmament plan between the 'Peace Council' and Netanyahu, the transfer of law enforcement powers over settlers to the Israeli police in the West Bank, and the impact of the Iranian war on reshaping the regional order and marginalizing the Palestinian cause.

A strategic analysis of the Palestinian track under an American plan to reshape the regional order after the February 2026 war between Israel, the United States, and Iran. The article highlights the duality of language between the 'peace' spoken by the White House and the 'Peace Council' headed by Nikolay Mladenov, and the language of the field represented by incursions, arrests, and demolition operations in the West Bank and intermittent raids on Gaza. It addresses the dispute over the mechanism for implementing the second phase of the American plan, where the 'Peace Council' supports gradually disarming Hamas area by area with a simultaneous Israeli withdrawal, while Netanyahu insists on full disarmament as a precondition for any withdrawal. The article links this intransigence to the Israeli electoral calendar scheduled for next October. It also discusses the transfer of 'law enforcement' powers over settlers from the military to the Israeli police in the West Bank, considering it a shift towards 'de facto annexation'. It concludes with an analysis of the regional dimension, noting that the Palestinian cause has become a file managed within a broader regional architecture led by Washington.