The Middle East reaches a boiling point - everyone is preparing for the next round

Yair Marton analyzes the regional escalation: Iran is seeking an achievement that will return it to the negotiating table from a position of strength, Israel is preparing for another round, the Houthis are threatening Saudi Arabia, and tensions in Europe are rising. The author estimates that the coming months will be a game of nerves and feverish preparations in case diplomacy fails.

In his column, Yair Marton analyzes the situation in the Middle East, which he says is reaching a boiling point. Iran, according to the analysis, is seeking a limited achievement through missiles, drones, militias in Iraq, Hezbollah, or the Houthis, to prove its ability to disrupt and return to the negotiating table from a position of strength. Israel, on the other hand, will not be able to afford a situation where Iran rebuilds its capabilities under a ceasefire, and is therefore expected to act quickly and more deeply. Hezbollah, though weakened, is still capable of prolonged attrition. Syria is becoming a new arena of conflict, and Europe is facing a complex mix of radicalization, terrorism, and migration. The author estimates that the coming months will include games of nerves, negotiations, and threats, alongside feverish preparations in case diplomacy fails. He concludes that the problem is not that the players do not know how to stop a war, but that each is trying to ensure the other side stops first.