It's Not the Missiles: Iran on the Brink of Explosion – the Collapse from Within Has Already Begun | Lt. Col. (Res.) Amit Yagor
The article describes Iran's severe economic and social crisis: electricity and water shortages, soaring food prices, business closures, salary delays, growing repression, and erosion of security forces. The author, Lt. Col. (Res.) Amit Yagor, argues that the internal collapse has already begun and that the domestic arena may determine the regime's fate. He proposes establishing a command for a civilian-psychological campaign alongside the military one.
The article, written by Lt. Col. (Res.) Amit Yagor, argues that Iran is on the brink of an internal explosion, and that the collapse from within has already begun. It quotes an official announcement by the head of the engineering and strategy department of the distribution network of the state electricity company, stating that the regime is imposing full-day electricity restrictions once a week on all industrial areas. The spokesman for the parliament's energy committee announced that power outages will continue at least until the end of October. In the city of Jassaran, daily water outages from 8:00 AM to midnight are reported, and in the cities of Bomehen, Shahriar, and Qods, access to running water is limited to a few hours a week. Farmers in Fars province warn that rice fields are drying up due to water shortages, while the water authority collects full payments in advance. Food prices have soared: a basic meal costs about $0.28 (about 180,000 toman), which constitutes 35%-50% of the average family's monthly income. The cancellation of subsidies, due to a dollar shortage, has led to a hundreds of percent increase in bread and egg prices. Small businesses, such as restaurants in Bandar Abbas, are facing closure, and workers at ATA Airlines have not received salaries for three months. Tuition at the Islamic Azad University has jumped by 20%-30%, and local pharmaceutical production has dropped by 30%, with shortages of insulin and oncology drugs. The author also mentions the punishment of Mehdi Roshani, a Kurdish protester arrested in January 2026, tortured, and transferred to Tehran, until a death sentence. He calls for establishing a command for a civilian-psychological campaign alongside the military one, as the ideas that will topple the regime will come from understanding the civilian dynamics.