Iran's Future Depends on Trump's Choice – Four Scenarios Named

American journalist Dan Perry presented four scenarios for US policy toward Iran: an agreement, a war of attrition, a blockade, and regime change. He considers the blockade the most preferable and a protracted war the least. Perry also noted that Trump may delay a decision until the midterm elections and questioned the appropriateness of presenting intelligence during a public meeting with Netanyahu.

American journalist Dan Perry presented four possible scenarios for US policy toward Iran, noting that none is without serious risks. The first scenario is an agreement with Tehran on terms that allow Iran to retain significant capabilities, reducing tensions in the short term but strengthening the regime. The second is a return to a war of attrition with strikes and escalation, which Perry believes benefits authoritarian regimes. The third is a large-scale economic blockade that could weaken the regime but with severe humanitarian consequences. The fourth is an open bet on regime change, historically rarely successful. Perry considers the blockade the most preferable option and a protracted war the least favorable. He also believes that President Trump may delay a decision until the midterm congressional elections to avoid political fallout. Commenting on Netanyahu's visit to Washington, Perry questioned the appropriateness of presenting new intelligence during a public meeting, arguing that such information should be conveyed through closed channels.