Iran's axis survived Israel and US strikes: the main threat is still ahead

An analytical piece argues that despite significant Israeli and US strikes, the Iranian axis has not been destroyed but is adapting. Hezbollah retains operational capability, the Houthis are strengthening in Yemen, pro-Iranian groups in Iraq have not disarmed, and Tehran is trying to restore covert presence in Syria. The author warns of a long-term threat to Israel.

An analytical piece, based on a publication by Shahar Kleiman in JNS, argues that the Iranian axis has not been destroyed but is transitioning to a new model of existence. Despite serious blows, Hezbollah retains operational capability, the Houthis are strengthening their positions in Yemen and claim a naval blockade of Saudi Arabia, pro-Iranian formations in Iraq refuse to disarm, and Tehran is trying to restore covert presence in Syria. The author warns that in the event of a new direct confrontation between Israel and Iran, these structures could open additional fronts, creating a long-term problem for Israel. A rift between Hamas and Islamic Jihad after the October 7, 2023 attack is also noted.