Investors Put Their Money on Him with a 20-Point Gap: This Is Israel's Next Prime Minister

Former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot leads Benjamin Netanyahu by more than 20 points in the international prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi for the next prime minister. On Polymarket, he gets 53% versus 31% for Netanyahu, and on Kalshi 54% versus 30%. Trading volume on Polymarket stands at nearly $32 million. Avigdor Liberman and Naftali Bennett each hold 6% on Polymarket, and Gilad Erdan 1%.

The article reports a significant gap in the international prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi, according to which former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot leads Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the race for the next prime minister. On Polymarket, Eisenkot has a 53% probability of being elected, while Netanyahu stands at only 31% – a gap of 22 points. The trading volume on this topic is nearly $32 million, indicating global interest. On Kalshi, Eisenkot strengthens his position with 54%, and Netanyahu weakens to 30%. Avigdor Liberman and Naftali Bennett each hold 6% on Polymarket, while Gilad Erdan gets 1%. On Kalshi, Liberman is third with 7%. The article notes that prediction markets, based on 'wisdom of crowds' and backed by capital investments, are considered a reliable indicator, and the consistent gap of over 20% points to clear momentum in favor of Eisenkot and high assessment of a change of government.