In the previous elections we saw a tie between the blocs, now not
A magazine piece on the behind-the-scenes of the polls: pollster Mano Geva from the Midgam Institute says that unlike the previous elections, there is now no tie between the blocs – the opposition bloc (without Arabs) ranges between 58 and 60 seats, and the coalition bloc between 50 and 52. The article examines the undecided, the impact of October 7, the alleged manipulation of Channel 14 polls, and the Kaplan effect.
An N12 magazine piece presents the behind-the-scenes of the polls three months before the elections. Pollster Mano Geva from the Midgam Institute says that unlike the previous elections, where a tie between the blocs was seen over time, now the opposition bloc (without the Arab parties) ranges between 58 and 60 seats, and the coalition bloc between 50 and 52. His daughter, Adi Geva, the institute's VP, explains that the coalition bloc has become more homogeneous, making a shift between blocs almost impossible. The article discusses the undecided, most of whom are undecided within the same bloc, and a model that cracks 97% of them. It also examines the impact of October 7: Geva says the public is consistent in its desire for a state commission of inquiry headed by Yitzhak Amit. The article reveals the claim that Channel 14 polls, by Shlomo Filber, present an opposite picture, and that Filber transfers eight to ten seats from the opposition bloc to the Bibi bloc. Prof. Lior Shapira warns of dissonance if results do not match the polls. It also explains that the decline to the coalition began with the judicial reform, fell on October 7, and climbed slowly. Kaplan, according to Geva, will be very significant in the elections, and Mina Tzemach agrees that the fear of harm to democracy has not subsided.
In the previous elections we saw a tie between the blocs, now not