Gaza between the postponed settlement and the concurrent fronts conflict

An analysis of the suspension of the implementation of the second phase of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza, resulting from the intersection of three concurrent conflicts: a negotiating repositioning within Hamas, an institutional division within the Israeli government, and American preoccupation with a more urgent regional front with Iran. The analysis concludes that the Palestinian file has turned into a postponed negotiating tool in the calculations of the major powers.

An analysis of the suspension of the implementation of the second phase of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza, the writer sees that the scene is not moving towards a gradual settlement, but rather suffers from a suspension due to the intersection of three concurrent conflicts: a negotiating repositioning within Hamas, an institutional division within the Israeli government, and American preoccupation with a more urgent regional front with Iran. The analysis indicates that Khalil al-Hayya's visit to Cairo aims to turn his top organizational position into a negotiating weight, and that an American message conveyed the administration's seriousness in reaching a solution even if it angers Netanyahu. From the Israeli side, the analysis reveals a division within the cabinet over the principle of continuing the negotiating path, and a warning from the Shin Bet that Hamas's signing may be a strategic deception. As for the American side, the administration is preoccupied with a renewed military confrontation with Iran, which turns the Palestinian file into a postponed negotiating tool. The conclusion: mutual political paralysis translates on the ground into continued Israeli control over more than 60% of Gaza.