Escalation Scenarios Against Iran That Israel and the US Are Preparing For

Over the weekend, signs multiplied pointing to a possible imminent resumption of fighting against Iran, reports Yoav Limor. Trump is fed up with the Iranian game, and his main interest is opening the Strait of Hormuz. Israel is concerned about the nuclear issue, especially 'Mount Khoch', and will seek to strike missile production. It is unclear whether war goals will be achieved. Resuming fighting could lead to a confrontation in Lebanon. Netanyahu is determined to strike Iran's infrastructure, possibly for political reasons. Meanwhile, a deal with Hamas on disarmament was reported, but there are disputes: Israel demands full disarmament, Hamas is only willing to deposit heavy weapons. Hamas remains in power in Gaza.

Over the weekend, signs multiplied indicating the possibility of an imminent resumption of fighting against Iran, reports Yoav Limor in Israel Hayom. The article notes the 'Trump factor' – the possibility that the American president might change his mind – but it seems this time it is a real alarm. Trump, according to the article, is fed up with the Iranian game, partly due to his low popularity in polls. Despite the blows they suffered in Operation 'Roar of the Lion', the Iranians refused to comply with dictates and even did not uphold the framework agreement. Trump's main interest is the full opening of the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran uses as a nuclear weapon for the poor, causing fuel prices to soar. Israel is mainly concerned about the nuclear issue, especially activity at 'Mount Khoch', and will seek to exploit a renewed campaign to strike the missile production array. However, it is unclear whether it can achieve the original war goals. Senior defense officials have previously warned that these goals would not be achieved. Resuming fighting could lead to renewed fighting in Lebanon, with implications for the north. At the end of the previous operation, Israel pressed the US to approve strikes on Iran's infrastructure, but the Americans did not approve. Netanyahu is determined to carry this out now, possibly also for political reasons. Additionally, a deal with Hamas on disarmament was reported, but disputes emerged: Israel demands full disarmament, Hamas is only willing to deposit heavy weapons after a withdrawal. Hamas remains in power in Gaza, with Israel's consent, which raises concern.