Against Erdogan: Earthquake in Turkey's Political System

A new ORC Research poll, conducted between July 27-29, 2026, reveals a surge of the new party to second place with nearly 20% support, while the ruling party remains first and the veteran opposition suffers a historic defeat. The poll, which included 1,920 respondents across 26 provinces, indicates a profound shift in voter preferences.

A new poll by the ORC Research institute, conducted between July 27-29, 2026, among 1,920 respondents in 26 provinces, reveals a political upheaval in Turkey: the new party, established only recently, has jumped to second place with nearly a fifth of the voters' support. The ruling party remains first, while the veteran opposition suffers a historic defeat. The poll, which asked 'If general elections were held next Sunday, which party would you vote for?', indicates a profound shift in voter preferences. The remaining parties present a fragmented picture: the pro-Kurdish party gets 8.5%, the nationalist party 8.1%, 'The Good' 5.6%, 'Victory' 3.8%, 'Great Union' 3.4%, 'Happiness' 2.2%, and 'New Welfare' 2%. The new party of Özel has changed the balance of power, and its gamble may pay off at the ballot box.